基于改进马尔可夫模型的医疗设备采购决策模型研究及工程评估实践

      Research and Engineering Evaluation Practice of Medical Equipment Purchase Decision Model Based on Improved Markov Model

      • 摘要: 针对传统医疗设备采购模式存在的固有弊端,提出了一种基于改进马尔可夫模型的医疗设备采购决策模型并进行了工程评估实践。构建大数据量级的医疗设备采购数据池,引入深度学习感知医疗设备采购的核心约束因素,构建多维约束下的医疗设备采购决策模型,引入改进马尔可夫模型,给出可观测的医疗设备采购决策方案。对模型进行效能仿真验证与工程化应用效能分析。结果表明,模型可以在多维约束下给出具有全局最优属性的医疗设备采购决策方案,在长远需求与即时需求均衡性、采购决策方案生成最优性、较长周期内患者需求预测精确性等方面具有明显优势。

         

        Abstract: In view of the inherent drawbacks of traditional medical equipment procurement mode, a decision-making model of medical equipment procurement based on Improved Markov model is proposed and the engineering evaluation practice is carried out. The data pool of medical equipment procurement of big data level is constructed, the core constraint factors of medical equipment procurement are perceived by deep learning, the decision model of medical equipment procurement under multi-dimensional constraints is constructed, and the Improved Markov model is introduced, and the observable decision-making scheme of medical equipment procurement is given. The results show that the model can give the decision-making scheme of medical equipment procurement with global optimal attribute under multi-dimensional constraints. It has obvious advantages in the balance of long-term demand and immediate demand, the optimization of procurement decision-making scheme, and the accuracy of patient demand prediction in a long period.

         

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